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JOURNAL BASED ON FUNDAMENTAL

JOURNAL BASED ON FUNDAMENTAL
  
Медаль
Сообщений: 239
Good evening friends, this time I want to make a journal based on fundamental analysis. if in the previous journal I made a journal based on technical analysis that I developed myself, this time I want to make an analysis from a different side with technical analysis.
Медаль
Сообщений: 239
11 August 2019 ,At the year-end target, the NZDUSD currency pair for 2019 on the BNZ has been significantly revised down to 0.6200. They showed the New Zealand Dollar remained at the will of US President Trump and warned that one tweet could change calculus significantly. and it seems in my view that NZDUSD will continue its bearish trend
Медаль
Сообщений: 239
August 11 2019, I think GBP is under pressure mainly because of Brexit. On Friday, the quirk of a weaker-than-expected UK GDP reading adds additional weight. The economy contracted by 0.2% during the second quarter. It will post the fourth consecutive weekly decline and the lowest close on the chart since 1985. On Friday, it broke through the 6-day range, adding another step lower for moves that began mid-July. The recent Brexit drama continues to be the main driver. in my view even GBP will get worse
Медаль
Сообщений: 239
August 11, 2019, the EURUSD currency pair gained attraction to the improvement of London and rose to new daily highs of 1.1218. At time of writing, the pair is trading at 1.1215, adding 0.33% on the day and more than 100 pips since the beginning of the week. then the possibility of EURUSD will continue its bullish trend
Медаль
Сообщений: 239
August 11, 2019, the USDJPY currency pair came under renewed selling pressure in the last hour after US President Donald Trump's latest comments about the US-China trade conflict weighed on market sentiment and forced investors to flee to safer assets. At time of writing, the pair is around 10-pips above the daily low set at 105.57 recently and is down 0.35% every day. next week it looks like USDJPY will continue to fall
Медаль
Сообщений: 239
August 19, 2019, the pair XAUUSD. Global risk-on sentiment was extended after US President Donald Trump said he did not expect the recession to reach the headlines during the early Asian session. The move stretches after the Chinese central bank (People's Bank of China) signaled further steps towards a free floating currency by liberalizing interest rate changes for banks.
Медаль
Сообщений: 239
August 19, 2019, the USD / JPY pair strengthened in Tokyo opening hours despite the latest comments from Trump in which he stated that he was not ready to make a deal with China while monitoring the situation in Hong Kong. USD / JPY trades between 106.24 and 106.47 and rises slightly, + 0.03%, at the Tokyo opening.
Медаль
Сообщений: 239
September 07 2019 , the USDCAD , According to National Bank of Canada’s analysts any positive developments on the trade wars front have potential to give a double boost to the Canadian dollar via an oil price rebound and more favorable yield differentials with the US.

“The BoC is concerned about the negative impact of the U.S.-China trade war which is “weighing more heavily on global economic momentum” than it had projected last July. As such, developments on the trade front (e.g. next month’s meeting between American and Chinese trade negotiators) will be crucial in determining what the BoC does next.”
Медаль
Сообщений: 239
September 07 2019 , The GBP/USD pair bottomed four days ago at 1.1955 and rebounded more than 350 pips, erasing weekly gains and making a strong recovery. Price peaked on Thursday at 1.2352, the highest level in a month and pulled back on Friday. It was about to end the week hovering around 1.2300
Медаль
Сообщений: 239
September 07 2019 , The USD/JPY pair dropped to a daily low of 106.62 in the early trading hours of the American session after the monthly labour market data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that nonfarm payrolls in August increased by 130,000 to fall short of the market expectation of 158,000 and weighed on the greenback.

Commenting on the NFP report, “Although there were a few good numbers in the August employment report, including stronger wage growth, rising labour force participation and a rebound in the average workweek, a broad slowdown in hiring cannot be ignored,” Wells Fargo analysts said.
Медаль
Сообщений: 239
September 07 2019 The USD/CHF pair quickly retreated around 35-40 pips in a knee-jerk reaction to softer US headline NFP print, albeit has still managed to hold with modest daily gains around the 0.9880 region.

The pair met with some selling during the early North-American session after the latest US monthly jobs report came in to show that the economy added 130K new jobs in August vs. 158K expected and the July's downwardly revised reading of 157K.
Медаль
Сообщений: 239
September 07 2019 , GOLD and SILVER Spot Gold ended on Wall Street -0.86% at $1,505 having travelled from a high of $1,527.90 to a low of $1,502.74. Its sister currency, Silver, ended -3.24% having fallen from a high of $18.79 to a low of $17.97 - Subsequently, the Gold and silver ratio was higher by 2.35% travelling from 81.06 to a high of 83.62. December gold dropped $10, or 0.7%, to settle at $1,515.50 an ounce on Comex, after trading as high as $1,536.20 while  December silver was losing 68.8 cents, or 3.7%, to $18.119 an ounce, turning lower by 1.2% for the week. 
Медаль
Сообщений: 239
September 07 2019, the Oil ,West Texas Intermediate crude prices were higher again on Friday, ending on Wall Street 0.82% in the green having travelled from a low of $54.84 to a high of $56.91. For October delivery, the price was 22 cents better off, or 0.4%, settle at $56.52 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after ending Thursday a few cents-per-barrel higher. WTI scored a weekly gain of 2.6%.

The prices have been held up on the back of rising risk appetite, positive trade sentiment and the algos buying the headlines, and good old supply and demand fundamentals from the rig count showing for the third week of falling domestic crude supplies. Baker Hughes showed that the number of active U.S. rigs drilling for oil declined by four to 738 this week and this followed the prior day's the Energy Information Administration saying that U.S. crude supplies declined by 4.8 million barrels.
Медаль
Сообщений: 239
September 07 2019, the EURJPY, The cross is now losing some upside momentum after two consecutive daily advances, coming up from fresh YTD lows in the 115.85/80 band recorded on Tuesday.

The cross has managed to climb to the vicinity of 118.30 earlier in the session, although the up move lacked of follow through, particularly after EUR-sellers resurfaced in the wake of poor German data.

In fact, Industrial Production in Germany contracted 0.6% MoM during July, while final GDP figures in the broader euro area saw the economy expanded 0.2% QoQ and 1.2% YoY in the April-June period. Employment figures in Euroland rose 0.2% QoQ during the same period.

Later in the session, the US Non-farm Payrolls are expected to come in at 160K for the month of August, while the speech by Fed’s Powell is coming up next.
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